Wind ArcaneTier 2
at Texas MRC Regionals
decks
1
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-4-2
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.0%
avg ELO -7.5 per match
expected value
41.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1258
· median 1258
· range 1258–1258
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1212
Q3 1429
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 24.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 10.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
